Theory of Change

Outcome Framework: Lay out sequence of outcomes expected to occur as result of an intervention
Set of Assumptions:
1. How are long-term outcomes connected to intermediate and early outcomes?
2. Have all important preconditions for success been identified?
3. Will the intervention create the expected outcomes?
Set of intervention
Set of Indicators

Target population? Amount of change required to signal success? Time frame over which change is expected to occur? e.g. After 2 yrs of the program, 75% (from 68% now) of parents in the target area report in a telephone survey that learning at home is very important.

Plan an evaluation strategy around tracking whether these expected outcomes are actually produced

Elm Harbor TOC: For outcome "Families increase participation"

- toolkit

-workshop (introduce the kit, teach families games to play at home)

-social marketing

What kind of outcomes?

- Peaceful society:

Knowledge

Skill

Attitude

Why do I need it now? Who will read it?

Can I fit ourselves within someone else's theory of change?

(1) GOALS

(2) STRATEGIES

Develop messaging (define problem, name & frame, message test)
Disseminate (identify target audiences, segment audiences, distribute messages through relevant channels)

Identify organizations with strong relationships & reputations in priority communities
Bring together community partners working on issues of common interests
Promote alignment (understand roles, agree on common messages, coordinate action)

(3) LINK STRATEGIES TO OUTCOMES & GOALS

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